Future-Proofing for the Age of AI
The Consortium's launch session: what future-proofing means when you have to act on it, why this wave of AI met so little resistance, and the gap between how exciting it is and how little it had changed anyone's commercial model.
In the room
- Host
- Jesse Hopps
- Room
- Commercial excellence and transformation leaders from Buckman, Gelest, Huhtamaki, Johnson & Johnson, Kerry Group, LANXESS, Mitsubishi Chemical, Mundipharma, Owens Corning, Pfizer, Signify, Solmax, Stäubli Group, TalentNeuron, TD Synnex, and Demand Metric
AI is welcome while it assists. The test comes when it starts to decide.
The Consortium's launch session: what future-proofing means when you have to act on it, why this wave of technology met so little resistance, and the gap between how exciting AI is and how much it has changed anyone's commercial model.
The session that started the Consortium. Commercial excellence and transformation leaders from sixteen global enterprises, no speaker and no deck, working through two questions: what future-proofing means in practice, and how AI is being received inside their commercial organizations. Contributors are described by role and industry, under the Chatham House Rule.
The premise
The founding argument for the group was that the job itself is unusually isolating. Driving behavior change to produce growth across a large enterprise — through influence rather than authority — is done by a very small number of people worldwide, and the rooms where they might compare notes are usually convened by someone with something to sell.
“It requires a certain type of person who thrives on fixing things without treating people as things to fix. You need to be empathetic and patient and humble to do this job.”
- Invite-only, free, and closed to purchase. Membership follows peer referral rather than a fee.
- No vendors, sponsors or consultants working the room. Members are not there to be sold to, and pestering someone afterward ends a membership.
- Say yes only if you will attend. Places are capped so that everyone gets to speak, and a no-show costs someone else a seat.
- Cameras on and present, or say so. Half-attention from an inbox is worse than an empty chair.
- Small on purpose — around a dozen to fifteen, deliberately under the size where a discussion turns into an audience.
What membership was set up to provide was laid out in the same session: a monthly roundtable capped for engagement, a member directory and group so people can find and contact each other directly, benchmarking studies and member case studies, peer mentorship with introductions made on request, and a podcast built around members rather than the host — personal profile being one of the things the job seldom leaves time for.
The short version
- Future-proofing is a capability question before it is a technology question: what process, data, competencies and systems will be needed to win, and what is missing today.
- Run the exercise in both directions — forward from today and backward from a distant horizon. The two produce different answers, and the difference is the useful part.
- Plan for several scenarios rather than converging on one, and build against what they have in common.
- This wave of AI met little resistance because it assists. The reception when it starts recommending the price is the thing to watch.
- The gap in the room was between how exciting AI is and how little it had changed anyone's commercial model.
- The value showed up where AI unlocked action that would otherwise have gone untaken, rather than where it saved time.
What future-proofing means when you have to act on it
The term is loose enough to mean almost nothing, so the room was asked to define it. Four definitions came back and they fit together rather than competing.
A software and data CEO gave the structural version: build a picture of the environment at several horizons — the market, the industry, the forces pushing on you — and locate where the collisions and the openings are. Then look honestly at the organization today and work out what it needs to become in size, shape, skills and capability. Then write the transformation roadmap that closes the distance.
“You are trying to meet the puck where it's going to be, not where you are now. The alternative is reactionary — the future already happened, and you're panic fixing.”
A head of commercial excellence in specialty chemicals reduced it to one sentence: building the capabilities to win in future. Which capabilities is answered the same way each time — the processes, the data, the people competencies and the systems. The market question is where to play; this is the internal half of the same exercise, and the half more often skipped.
A corporate sales and commercial excellence lead in chemicals brought a method the room liked. A workshop on global trends, filtered down to the ones that matter for this company, then a North Star: what does the organization look like in 2050? And then, working back from that, what should be started now. What made it useful was seeing the distance — in some places much further than expected, in others closer.
A commercial excellence and marketing lead in lighting added the correction that keeps the exercise honest. Future-proofing is read as a technology forecast, and the conditions that move a business are as much economic and political. Much of that is beyond prediction, which is an argument for preparing rather than forecasting.
- 1
Run it forward
From today into one, five and ten years. This is the rational extrapolation, and it inherits today's assumptions along with today's constraints.
- 2
Run it backward
Backcasting: start ten years out, imagine the state fully, then work back to what has to be started now. Imagination first produces a materially different answer from extrapolation first.
- 3
Compare the two
Run both as separate streams and look at where they disagree. A head of commercial excellence in industrial machinery made the point that the divergence itself is the finding.
Why this wave met less resistance than the last
Asked how AI is being received inside their commercial organizations — opportunity, threat, excitement, doubt — the room reported far less resistance than earlier digital transformations had produced. One EMEA strategy and commercial excellence VP explained why, and then named the condition attached to it.
The current wave is chatbots and agents. It helps someone do what they already do, faster. Nothing about it challenges their judgment, which is why the reception has been warm.
“It will be very different when we go down the road of GenAI recommending action. Can we use GenAI for pricing? Telling a commercial team, this is what it recommends you offer — that is a different reaction. So far immune, but not sure it will last forever.”
A global commercial excellence leader in pharma described an organization that had gone further than her previous ones despite operating in one of the most regulated industries there is. Compliance is present at each step, and the company embraced it anyway, because a lean organization with ambitious goals has little alternative.
“It's not a matter of when or if. It's a matter of necessity.”
Seven AI projects were running inside her commercial excellence function alone. A commercial excellence manager at another pharmaceutical company described the enablement side of the same posture — a company-wide AI week of workshops on getting started, aimed at the whole population rather than a pilot group.
A commercial excellence lead in medical devices separated the two problems that were being discussed as one.
- The structural question: how AI gets integrated into the systems people already work in — next best action inside the CRM, and the rest of the workflow around it.
- The individual question: whether each rep and each manager personally uses it, which no amount of system integration settles.
His most promising ground was training. Role plays, competitor analysis and practice conversations were producing results with small tools and little investment, and matched how the newer intake prefers to learn.
The gap between how exciting it is and what it has changed
The most useful contribution of the session was a leader saying his industry's results were thin. A regional VP at a global ingredients business opened by disclaiming any expertise and then described what AI had produced for him so far.
- Call report efficiency — record the meeting, generate the summary, route it so the full write-up is left undone, linked into the key decision points.
- Pipeline prediction — a nine-figure euro pipeline of opportunities, with AI predicting how it lands against history, into the P&L.
“Beyond that, it's literally creating a bit of credibility into the process, a little bit more speed. It's quite underwhelming right now in creating a leapfrogging opportunity from a commercial point of view.”
His reason for being in the room was that he suspected he was missing something and wanted to hear what other industries were finding. It is worth noting how that question resolved: by the year-end session two months later, the same participant had built two of the strongest AI cases the Consortium has published — years of unread sales visit reports synthesized into proprietary market insight, and an eighteen-to-twenty-four-month innovation cycle collapsed into a single workshop.
Where it stops being efficiency
A global commercial excellence director in building materials had arrived at the same conclusion by a different route, and gave the session its sharpest framing. His organization takes any decent idea and runs a small project at it rather than waiting for a strategy — and what he learned from doing that was not about productivity.
“It's not just triggering efficiency. It's really unlocking action and making things happen that otherwise wouldn't happen. That's where I see the transformative value.”
- 1
Global reports that were previously unreadable
Interaction and customer reports flow into the CRM daily in volumes beyond what a person can digest. People read their own scope; the global picture is the insightful one and the one few have time to assemble. With AI doing the assembly, decisions now get made at a global level that would otherwise have gone unmade.
- 2
Notifications that produce a call
A small tool that alerts a salesperson when something shifts in their portfolio — a change in a buying pattern or a payment pattern. Modest technically, and it drives action that would otherwise not have been taken.
- 3
Hiring for the capability now
Open positions in his scope are being filled with an eye to that skill specifically — recruiting the mavericks who will find the use cases, on the expectation that the capability spreads outward from the people who have it.
The two ends of the spectrum
On whether people fear for their jobs, the room split — and the split ran along industry lines more than seniority.
A general manager in specialty chemicals described his organization as bipolar on the question: people who had jumped in and were exploring it fully, and people with real anxiety about whether their know-how was about to be automated. The work in the middle is showing the second group how it helps them rather than replaces them.
A commercial excellence and innovation director in chemicals pushed the question further down the organization, to the sellers themselves. In his experience AI is still far from their daily lives — they see the job as visiting customers and having conversations, and the technology has not reached that. He drew the parallel that will be familiar to anyone who has run a CRM rollout: sales teams are seldom the people who love new technology, and this is unlikely to be different.
The counter from the host was that the case has to be made in terms of the seller's own day. In a technical industry, identifying where a customer's application creates a need is exactly what these tools are good at — which means the pitch is that it makes you look brilliant in seconds, not that it improves the company's data.
The medical devices lead offered the reframe most of the room had already reached.
“It's not AI that will replace people. It's people who use AI well that will replace people who are not using it properly.”
He had been struck by how far it had spread among senior reps in particular, once a sanctioned tool arrived. The building materials director reported no fear at all in his organization — the reaction there was to the productivity on offer, and his summary of where they had got to was that they are scratching the surface.
The question left open
The session closed on the thing the participants had left unsettled: what is allowed. Whether company information can go into a public model, whether the work should be walled off, and who decides. Governance was behind the adoption in most of the organizations represented, and the gap was being filled by individual judgment.
Practices to apply immediately
- Define future-proofing as a capability question: which processes, data, competencies and systems are needed to win, and which are missing today.
- Build the picture at several horizons — the market, the industry, the forces pushing on you — then locate the collisions and the openings before writing the roadmap.
- Run the exercise in both directions. Forward from today inherits today's assumptions; backcasting from a distant horizon does not, and the disagreement between them is the finding.
- Use scenario planning instead of chasing consensus. Build several futures and fund the moves they have in common.
- Expect a different reception when AI moves from assisting to recommending. A pricing recommendation reads as a verdict on someone's expertise in a way a summary does not.
- Separate the structural question from the individual one. Integrating AI into the CRM settles nothing about whether a given rep uses it.
- Start with training use cases — role plays and competitor analysis produce results with small tools and little investment.
- Judge a use case by whether it unlocks action that would otherwise go untaken, rather than by the time it saves.
- Make the case to sellers in terms of their own day. In technical industries the pitch is that it makes you look brilliant in seconds, not that it improves company data.
- Hire the mavericks who will find the use cases, and let the capability spread from the people who have it.
- Expect the technology to level the technical playing field rather than tilt it. Once competitors have the same tools, judgment becomes the differentiator.
- Close the governance gap early. Where policy lags adoption, individual judgment fills the space.
Questions the room worked through
- What does future-proofing mean in a commercial context?
- Building a picture of the environment at several horizons — market, industry, and the forces pushing on the business — locating where the collisions and openings are, then assessing honestly what the organization needs to become in size, shape, skills and capability, and writing the roadmap that closes the distance. One participant's shorthand: meet the puck where it is going, rather than where you are now. The alternative is reactionary, which is panic fixing a future that has already arrived.
- Which capabilities does future-proofing refer to?
- Process, data, people competencies and systems. The market question is where to play; this is the internal half of the same exercise, and the half more often skipped. A head of commercial excellence in specialty chemicals reduced the whole term to one line: building the capabilities to win in future.
- Should you plan forward from today or backward from a future date?
- Both, as separate streams. Forward from today is a rational extrapolation and inherits today's assumptions along with today's constraints. Backcasting — starting ten years out, imagining the state fully and working back to what must begin now — starts with imagination and produces a materially different answer. Running both and examining where they disagree is more informative than either alone.
- How do you get a leadership team to agree on one view of the future?
- The room questioned whether that is the right goal. Consensus on a single scenario is hard to reach and fragile once reached. Scenario planning replaces it: build several futures and fund what they have in common, which gives you the moves worth making regardless of which one arrives.
- What does Commercial Excellence Consortium membership include?
- A monthly roundtable capped small enough that everyone speaks, a member directory and group for contacting peers directly, benchmarking studies and member case studies, peer mentorship with introductions made on request, and a podcast built around members. Membership is invite-only and free, follows peer referral, and excludes vendors, sponsors and consultants working the room.
- Why has AI met less resistance than earlier digital transformations?
- Because the current wave assists rather than decides. Chatbots and agents help someone do what they already do, faster, and nothing about that challenges their judgment. One participant expected a different reception once the technology starts recommending action — telling a commercial team what to offer on price is a verdict on their expertise in a way a meeting summary is not.
- How does a heavily regulated company adopt AI?
- One global commercial excellence leader in pharma described compliance being present at each step and the company embracing it regardless, because a lean organization with ambitious goals has little alternative. Her framing was that it is a matter of necessity rather than of when or if. Seven AI projects were running inside her commercial excellence function alone.
- What is the difference between structural and individual AI adoption?
- The structural question is how AI gets integrated into the systems people already work in — next best action inside the CRM, and the workflow around it. The individual question is whether a given rep or manager personally uses it, which no amount of system integration settles. Treating them as one problem is why adoption numbers disappoint.
- What are the easiest AI wins in a commercial organization?
- Training was the ground several participants found most productive: role plays, competitor analysis and practice conversations, which work with small tools and little investment and suit how newer joiners prefer to learn. Beyond that, participants reported call report summarization and pipeline prediction against historical patterns.
- How do you tell whether an AI use case is worth pursuing?
- Ask whether it unlocks action that would otherwise go untaken, rather than what it saves. Two examples from the room: global customer reports that few had the capacity to assemble, now driving global decisions that were previously not being made; and portfolio alerts to salespeople when a buying or payment pattern shifts, which produce a call that would otherwise not have happened.
- How do you get sellers to use AI?
- Make the case in terms of their own day. One participant noted that sellers see the job as visiting customers and having conversations, and that sales teams are seldom early adopters of technology — the CRM rollout being the obvious precedent. In technical industries the argument that lands is that the tool identifies where a customer's application creates a need, which makes the seller look brilliant in seconds.
- Are people afraid AI will replace their jobs?
- The room split, and along industry lines more than seniority. One general manager described his organization as bipolar — people fully engaged, and people anxious that their know-how is about to be automated. The reframe most participants had reached: it is not AI that replaces people, it is people who use AI well replacing people who are not using it properly.
- What happens when AI governance lags adoption?
- Individual judgment fills the gap. The open questions in the room were whether company information can go into a public model, whether the work should be walled off, and who decides — and in most of the organizations represented, policy was behind the adoption rather than ahead of it.
- Does AI create competitive advantage on its own?
- The room's view was that it levels the technical playing field rather than tilting it, because the same tools reach competitors on the same terms. Predictive analytics was the precedent cited: available in principle for two decades, adopted by few, and now arriving for everyone at once. That moves the differentiator to what people do with the output — how quickly they can take in information, judge it and act.
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